🚨 US short-term stress barometer — live
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← Home 🌳 Long term
⚡ Short-term stress — 4 to 12 weeks
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Composite score · 9 indicators · 3 of them weekly
Murders are down 18.7% — the steepest fall since 1960. Gun purchases are up 11.7%. Jobless claims sit low, yet sentiment has dropped to 44.8, below the all-time record. Violence is receding, fear is not, and the labour market looks fine while Americans have never felt worse. Those gaps are the story. Claims land every Thursday; gas every week.
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🔴 Critical
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🟠 Strained
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🟢 Stable
⚡ All indicators
Seven of these nine update themselves — jobless claims, continued claims, gas prices, card delinquency and sentiment come straight from FRED, three of them weekly — murders from the Real-Time Crime Index — which exists because the FBI publishes nine months late — and gun purchases from FBI NICS, rebuilt into a clean monthly series by the Data Liberation Project. Two don't yet: SNAP (USDA publishes spreadsheets, no API) and personal bankruptcies (US Courts publishes tables, six weeks after quarter end). Their figures here are the latest published — sourced, dated, and not guessed. A parser is needed to automate them; until it exists and can prove its own reading, no robot writes them.