📊 Radical transparency

IS THE BEAVER RIGHT?

Every prediction is logged with a verification date. No one can erase a mistake. Here's the truth, unfiltered.

💡 What is a prediction?

The Beaver monitors real signals (distress resales, unemployment rate…) and announces in advance where the score will go over the next 4 to 8 weeks. It's a dated, public bet that cannot be erased.

📊 Predicted score — where the Beaver thinks it'll go (out of 100)

📍 Score at the time — where it was when the bet was made

⏳ Verification — the date we'll know if it was right

✅ Later — CORRECT or INCORRECT, never hidden

Example: "predicted 41, score at the time 32" = the Beaver bets stress will rise from 32 to 41. See you on the verification date.

⏳ Pending predictions

These bets are not yet verified. The countdown is running — come back on the indicated date to see if the Beaver was right.

🥊 The Beaver vs the world

🦫 The Beaver

Behavioral data + learning AI

7 DAYS AHEAD

📊 Statistics Canada

Official data, rigorous method

6 months behind

🎰 Polymarket

Wisdom of crowds, money on the line

Opinions, not data

🍕 Pentagon Pizza Index

1 single signal (pizza deliveries)

1 signal only