🔭 LONG TERM
⚡ CURRENT STRESS — DAYS TO QUARTERS
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MODERATE
Structural score · loading…
These signals don't scream. They whisper for years before the crisis becomes visible. Each card carries its own history — where the series peaked, and where it stands now — read from the same file as the current value.
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🔴 Critical
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🟠 High
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🟡 Watch
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🟢 Stable
🧬 Methodology
The structural score aggregates 14 structural indicators drawn from Todd, Turchin, Case & Deaton and Putnam (fertility, infant mortality, births to foreign-born parents, single-parent families, drug overdoses, male suicide, alcohol deaths, M/W education gap, elite overproduction, housing, top 1% income share, household debt, secularization, social trust). Automated from FRED, CDC WONDER and Census; five indicators are updated manually once a year from their primary source — secularization (Pew), social trust (Gallup), top 1% income share (World Inequality Database), elite overproduction (ABA National Lawyer Population Survey) and single-parent births (CDC NVSS). No invented numbers.